Investors with cash are sitting in a good position right now. When markets are dominated by fear, the time is ripe for bargains. It's just a matter of being able to spot them, deciding how much risk you are willing to take and having the courage to act.
The
opportunities in the markets have arisen largely from developments in fixed
interest markets which have had a flow on effect into share markets. Simply
put, nervousness about the quality of fixed interest investments has sent
jitters right around the world, with investors retreating to high quality, low
risk investments, leaving parts of the market strapped for cash, stripped of
buyers and in some cases crumbling to dust. Prices of bonds and other fixed
interest investments have fallen, and new issues have been cancelled.
The
strange thing is that when retail goods are on sale at bargain prices, the
buyers rush in, but not so when investment prices drop. The reason for that is
how investors perceive risk. If you can buy a can of baked beans at half price,
you know with certainty that even though it's cheap, it's still a can of baked
beans. Buying investments cheap is a bit like buying a cheap can of baked beans
with the label removed - when you get it home and open it, there might be
lemons inside!
Market
confidence has taken a beating with the discovery of lemons - and the worst
part is - they were selling in disguise at full price, not half price. If
you're a risk adverse investor, you need to know exactly what you are buying.
Right now, risk adverse investors are opting to keep their funds in the bank,
taking advantage of historically high interest rates.
Cash
is king - high return and low risk. Staying in cash is a reasonable approach
for a short term investor. However, investors with an eye for the future will
be thinking about which way markets will move over the next two years or more.
Interest
rates are likely to come down. The drop in the price of bonds means that you
can now buy AA rated bonds with four years until maturity that will return you
well over 8%. That may seem a little low now in comparison with short term
rates, but will be looking good when short term rates drop.
For
investors willing to take a little risk there are fixed interest funds that
have dropped in value. Much of this drop in value is due to market sentiment
based on fear, and fixed interest funds will rise in value as market sentiment
changes and as interest rates fall.
For
investors wanting to sit on the fence a little longer, but with a higher return
than cash, there is a new issue of highly rated perpetual securities with a
rate that is reset annually. These securities can be sold through a broker at
any time.
Mortgage
backed funds are also a low risk option with a variable interest rate and
reasonable liquidity. Opportunities are not just restricted to the fixed
interest market, however. Share markets have only partially recovered from the
panic a few weeks ago. Those who were quick to act on the sharp drop will have
already made a good return and if you have a long investment time frame there
is plenty more upside potential yet.
Article
by Liz Koh
Liz Koh is a financial adviser. A
copy of her disclosure statement can be obtained on request and free of charge
by calling 0800 273 847.
Ph:
0800 273 847
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